For many, the main point of investing in the stock market is to achieve spectacular returns. And highest quality companies can see their share prices grow by huge amounts. For example, the Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (NYSE:KNSL) share price is up a whopping 363% in the last half decade, a handsome return for long term holders. If that doesn't get you thinking about long term investing, we don't know what will. Unfortunately, though, the stock has dropped 8.0% over a week. However, this might be related to the overall market decline of 2.4% in a week.
In light of the stock dropping 8.0% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.
Check out our latest analysis for Kinsale Capital Group
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Over half a decade, Kinsale Capital Group managed to grow its earnings per share at 50% a year. This EPS growth is higher than the 36% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has become relatively pessimistic about the company.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Kinsale Capital Group's TSR for the last 5 years was 368%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
We're pleased to report that Kinsale Capital Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 40% over one year. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 36% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Kinsale Capital Group that you should be aware of before investing here.